Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 8.327721 9.747523 11.302518 13.127488 15.205894 17.494372 20.199892
2026-01-04 6.139878 8.105584 10.485897 13.557844 17.392201 21.993242 27.902021
2026-01-11 4.719497 6.869900 9.691725 13.614075 18.864643 25.582828 34.749201
2026-01-18 3.778677 5.981686 9.076333 13.651869 20.136800 28.873075 41.377520
2026-01-25 3.003617 5.137268 8.326602 13.310671 20.739925 31.207306 46.818873
2026-02-01 2.426284 4.460823 7.681697 12.975303 21.231174 33.334594 52.049137
2026-02-08 1.938577 3.824795 6.981221 12.424225 21.282152 34.756820 56.295049
2026-02-15 1.579520 3.333933 6.428076 12.008526 21.453748 36.314405 60.792299
2026-02-22 1.405683 3.144554 6.351806 12.359264 22.865639 39.862740 68.557674
2026-03-01 1.261257 2.982730 6.295677 12.725307 24.317400 43.558649 76.782890
2026-03-08 1.049043 2.640257 5.850417 12.328234 24.400229 45.000887 81.442531
2026-03-15 0.884976 2.366209 5.493238 12.041806 24.632321 46.681419 86.570368
2026-03-22 0.813291 2.299153 5.568657 12.649039 26.647669 51.733484 98.024795
2026-03-29 0.724863 2.176754 5.516902 13.012798 28.275791 56.294114 109.074281
2026-04-05 0.625449 2.002731 5.323167 13.056635 29.289069 59.831037 118.585860
2026-04-12 0.540860 1.845610 5.139053 13.091019 30.276836 63.382853 128.351696
2026-04-19 0.449679 1.644358 4.812749 12.761768 30.478608 65.458874 135.543632
2026-04-26 0.374162 1.466695 4.510044 12.438502 30.647427 67.465421 142.715718
2026-05-03 0.302879 1.279137 4.143870 11.907506 30.301544 68.417230 147.924820
2026-05-10 0.248726 1.130148 3.850458 11.507036 30.191595 69.814831 154.062202
2026-05-17 0.226330 1.087557 3.848997 11.844918 31.791078 74.818387 167.598386
2026-05-24 0.206695 1.049295 3.853264 12.197592 33.455921 80.066813 181.924758
2026-05-31 0.170790 0.933041 3.597275 11.815023 33.331816 81.512704 188.625029